Have Senior Housing prices peaked?

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Recently, I spoke at the Washington Healthcare Association’s (WHCA) annual conference.  I have spoken there three times on the general state of the senior housing and skilled nursing sales market.   For the first time, I had to say that the data shows that pricing has peaked.   According to the National Investment Center (NIC), prices peaked in mid-2015.   As a firm, Senior Living Investment Brokerage, Inc. sells 90+ facilities each year and we have a very good pulse on the market.  Our data would support this conclusion.  On a facility that we would have received six offers a year ago, we now might receive four.   Prices seem to be down approximately 5%.  However, when analyzing pricing over the past six to eight years, today’s prices are still very good.

The million-dollar question (quite literally!) is, where is pricing going in the future?  Prices are still very good and there are still many buyers with plenty of access to capital.  However, the Federal Reserve has come out recently talking about increasing rates again, which could push up the rate on the ten-year treasury, increasing borrowing costs.   If interest rates continue to rise, we could see a further decline in pricing.   However, we don’t see a dramatic decline in the next 6-12 months.   There are too many good buyers with plenty of capital to invest.   Occupancy is steady and new construction in most markets is not out of line.  Beyond 12 months, it is very difficult to predict and prices could change much more.  For any owner thinking about selling in the next several years, now might be a very good time.

For a market valuation on your senior living or skilled nursing facility, please contact Jason Punzel at [email protected] or Joy Goebbert at [email protected], 630-858-2501.

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Is “Price Per Unit” a Good Valuation Metric for Senior Living

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According to the Senior Care Acquisition Report 2016, the average price per unit for Assisted Living Facilities in 2015 was $189,200 and for Independent Living Facilities it was $192,900.   However, is this really a good metric for valuing a senior living community?

In 2015 the average price per unit for Class A Independent Living Facilities was $248,500 and Class B wa $138,300.   We currently have a Class C, 110-unit Independent Living Community under contract in the Pacific Northwest that will sell for less than $40,000/unit.  As a company, last year we sold Skilled Nursing Facilities from $10,000-$130,000+/bed and Assisted Living Communities from $20,000-$300,000+.  There are some older facilities in rural areas that have negative EBITDA which may not have any interested buyers and thus have little, if any value.  Additionally, there are facilities in downtown areas of San Francisco, Seattle and New York for example that would sell for $500,000+/unit if they were actively marketed by Senior Living Investment Brokerage, INC today.

Because of the wide range in prices, we strongly recommend that owners focus more on cap rates and internal rates of return when valuing their properties.   Ultimately, buyers are interested in a return on their investment and they will use these metrics to determine the price they will pay.   The price per unit then becomes the result of and not the cause of the price.

To discuss the value of your Senior Living or Skilled Nursing Facility please contact Jason Punzel at 630-858-2501 x 233 or [email protected]  or Joy Goebbert at 630-858-2501 x 230 or [email protected].

The post Is “Price Per Unit” a Good Valuation Metric for Senior Living appeared first on Senior Living Investment Brokerage.